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TUESDAY Q’S

MARKET REPORT

WEATHER 20/20 REPORT

AGRICULTURE

  • TEXAS PASTURES FACE NEW PEST

  • FARM TRUCKS WITH REAL ROI

  • DATABASE IMPROVES MANURE MANAGEMENT

FINANCE

  • DAILY REPORTING

  • U.S. WHEAT EXPORTS STRENGTHEN

  • LIVESTOCK MARKETS MIXED, VOLATILITY EASES

  • GOLD GAINS AS OIL SLIDES

TUESDAY Q-SDAY

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Last Week’s Responses— 12/09

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DAILY MARKET SUMMARY
Close

347.37

Previous

346.77

Change

0.6 ▲

Monday, December 15

AUCTION SUMMARY

Ft. Pierre Livestock

4,839 Ft. Pierre, SD

Friday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
400-500 lbs519.00-550.00300-400 lbs494.00
500-600 lbs435.00-505.00 400-500 lbs480.00-545.00
600-700 lbs398.00-452.00500-600 lbs387.50-470.00
700-800 lbs391.00-416.50600-700 lbs362.00-383.00
800-900 lbs330.00-389.00700-800 lbs320.00-346.00

Eastern MO Commission Co.

2,383 Bowling Green, MO

Friday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
400-500 lbs445.00-487.50400-500 lbs407.00-450.00
500-600 lbs410.00-462.00 500-600 lbs359.00-387.50
600-700 lbs369.00-429.00600-700 lbs351.00-383.00
700-800 lbs378.00-398.50 700-800 lbs325.00-346.00
800-900 lbs330.50-337.50800-900 lbs311.00

Burwell Livestock Market

1,800 Burwell, NE

Friday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
400-500 lbs490.00-535.00300-400 lbs-
500-600 lbs435.00-502.50400-500 lbs450.00-486.00
600-700 lbs388.00-448.00500-600 lbs382.50-495.00
700-800 lbs365.00-396.00600-700 lbs337.50-420.00
800-900 lbs330.00-338.00700-800 lbs-

CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE LIVESTOCK FUTURES SETTLEMENT

Monday

Live Cattle Change  Feeder Cattle Change
Dec 230.825 1.025 Jan 339.925 0.825
Feb 230.550 1.000 Mar 334.850 0.775
Apr 230.025 0.625 Apr 333.775 0.550

CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE GRAIN FUTURES SETTLEMENTS

Monday

Corn Change  Soy Beans Change
Mar 4.3975 0.0100 Jan 10.7175 0.0500
May 4.4775 0.0125 Mar 10.8125 0.0550
Jul 4.5375 0.0125 May 10.9300 0.0400

KANSAS CITY BOARD OF TRADE

Monday

  Wheat Change
Mar 5.1200 0.0600
May 5.2425 0.0625
Jul 5.3750 0.0600

ESTIMATED DAILY CATTLE SLAUGHTER

Monday 110,000 Friday
Week Ago (est)115,000 Steer & Heifer: 83,000
Year Ago (act)117,000 Cow & Bull: 22,000
Wk To Date (est)110,000 Saturday
Last Week (est)115,000 Steer & Heifer: 6,000
Last Year (est)117,000Cow & Bull: 1,000

Monday, December 15

5 AREA WEEKLY ACCUMULATED WEIGHTED AVG CATTLE PRICE

As of 10:00 amHead CountAvg WeightAvg Price
Live Steer 36,282 1,568 228.19
Live Heifer 17,722 1,388 227.88
Dressed Steer 5,681 1,024 353.63
Dressed Heifer 1,131 890 353.92

DAILY ESTIMATED CUTOUT VALUES

600-900#ChoiceSelectChoice/Select Spread
Current Cutout Values: 359.46 347.30 12.16
Change from prior day: +2.02 +3.08  

DAILY CATTLE SLAUGHTER

Monday 110,000 Friday
Week Ago (est)115,000 Steer & Heifer: 83,000
Year Ago (act)116,935 Cow & Bull: 22,000
Wk To Date (est)110,000 Saturday
Last Week (est)115,000 Steer & Heifer: 6,000
Last Year (est)116,935 Cow & Bull: 1,000
ASK JOHN

When cattle prices finally bounce back, most producers’ minds go straight to optimism, not labeling law. In this episode, host Lauren Moylan and John Campbell walk through a sharp rebound in the sale barns at La Junta, Riverton, and Dodge City, why light calves are once again knocking on October highs, and what that could mean heading into grass turnout. Then the conversation takes a hard turn into one of the industry’s most emotional topics: Mandatory Country of Origin Labeling. John Campbell lays out why mCOOL has become a “sacred cow,” why he doubts it will significantly change consumer behavior, and how imported beef, food labeling laws, and real-world grocery decisions collide with the way producers think the world works.

Takeaways:

  • Recent sales in La Junta, Riverton, and Dodge City show a strong rebound, with light calves in many cases back near October highs.

  • Feeder and calf prices on suitable turnout cattle jumped $30–$40 per head in a matter of weeks in some weight classes.

  • John Campbell expects tight supplies of light cattle and seasonal grass demand to support even higher prices into spring.

  • Despite recent volatility and “bad news,” a lot of pessimism has been taken out of the cattle market for now.

  • John Campbell views mCOOL as a “good idea,” but not the number one issue the beef industry should be willing to die on.

  • He argues most consumers do not truly shop by country of origin; they buy on habit, price, and convenience more than label fine print.

  • The U.S. imports a large share of its food, including the majority of fruits, vegetables, and almost all seafood, and consumers rarely check those origins.

  • Labeling is already highly regulated; adding mandatory country-of-origin language risks even more complexity, enforcement, and tiny unreadable print.

  • Lauren Moylan raises concerns about current “Product of USA” rules that allow imported beef slaughtered and packaged domestically to wear a U.S. label.

  • Both agree that the bigger strategic question is whether mCOOL would actually shift consumer behavior enough to justify the cost and regulatory burden, especially when the industry still needs imported lean beef and steady demand at the meat case.

Have a topic you want to hear discussed? Use the button below to send us your request and tune in to CattleUSA TV on YouTube to see the answer 🤠

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Monday, December 15

CattleUSA Insurance Partner Logic Ag Marketing Commentary

I've heard a hundred "old sayings" about this cattle business, and most of them have proven true at different times. For instance, you've probably heard "the money's made on the buy." That sounds like something a salebarn man or an order buyer would say when trying to sling a "cheap load." Next step on the ladder would be the feed man, telling you that "performace pays" or "the money's made on good conversions." The last thing you've probably heard, maybe even me say, is "the marketing is where the money's made or lost." That's the marketer or hedger, who at different times has also been right or wrong.

If I think back and reflect on the last 2 decades, I can tell you I've made and lost a lot of money on the buy. I can tell you I've made and lost alot of money with good feed conversions and performance. I can also tell you I've made a lot of money and left a lot on the table by marketing incorrectly. I've had cattle bought right, feed well, but were sold wrong and lost money. I've had cattle that were bought well, sold well, but I still lost money because the weather or poor performance. Very rarely do we hit the home run, buying the cattle right, feeding through great weather with cheap gains and outstanding performance, and end up selling the cattle really well in a huge bull market. That happened in 2025. The corn was great quality last year, the gain was put on cheap and conversions were good. We didn't have to mortgage a 40 to buy a potload of feeders, and we sold into a "rally of a lifetime." 2025 has been a home run I'll never forget.

2026's corn could be considered lower quality than last year's, so I'm told. Replacement feeders, cows, bulls, and bred heifers are all higher to start the new year. And the packers seem to be fighting this bull market harder than they did last December. Maybe aim for base hits this year huh? We can't control the weather and you can try to control what you pay for that cow or calf or yearling steer. You can protect your sale, with the intention of controlling your sale. Don't look back and wish you had.

-Fat cattle kill at 110,000 vs 115,000 a week ago and 116,000 a year ago

-Choice boxes up 2.02 to $359.46 and select up 3.08 to $347.30 for a spread of 12.16 on 114 loads

-CME feeder index(Feeder LRP Settlement) for 12/12 came in at $347.37

-Fed Cattle LRP’s ending last week settled at $227.90

-Hog kill at 496,000 vs 488,000 a week ago and 486,000 a year ago.

-Afternoon Pork reported up .68 at $98.89 on 272 loads

-CME lean hog index on 12/11 reported at 82.80

-CME pork cutout index on 12/12 reported at 97.19

-LRP’s ending 12/15 settled at approximately $82.98

Dan Gerhold

Click here to connect with a CattleUSA Insurance representative

Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Review our full disclaimer at https://www.logicag.com/disclaimer

WEATHER 20/20 REPORT

SOUTH AMERICA RAINFALL FORECAST: DECEMBER 15-30

• BRAZIL: All locations will see 2”-4” of rain with pockets of 4”-6”. The heaviest looks to be Minas Gerais to Bahia to MG.

• ARGENTINA: 1”-3” for most locations.

CattleUSA has teamed up with Weather 20/20 to bring you exclusive access to long-range weather forecasts using their patent-pending LRC methodology. Plan ahead with confidence and stay ahead of the weather—now at a special discounted rate for CattleUSA users!

AGRICULTURE NEWS

Texas Pastures Face New Pest

Texas officials are urging producers to scout for pasture mealybug, a newly detected invasive pest never before seen in North America. Confirmed in multiple counties, it causes pasture dieback and threatens forage grasses. Agencies are coordinating responses as no effective treatment is yet available. read more here

Farm Trucks With Real ROI

Certified Agriculture Group is reshaping how producers buy pickups by certifying ag-savvy dealers and offering AgPack, a bundle of stackable rebates worth up to $48,000. The program helps turn trucks from pure depreciation into working assets, including a new farmer-designed “AgWagon.” read more here

Database Improves Manure Management

University of Minnesota researchers launched ManureDB, a public, nationwide database with updated manure nutrient data. Built from modern samples across regions, it helps farmers benchmark manure tests, supports nutrient planning, and improves ag and environmental modeling beyond outdated, limited datasets. read more here

FINANCE NEWS

Monday, December 15

MARKETSPRICECHANGEPERCENT
DOW 48,416.56 - 41.490.09%
S&P 500 6,816.51 - 10.90 0.16%
NASDAQ 23,057.41 - 137.76 0.59%
Russell 2000 2,530.67 - 20.79 0.81%
Gold 4,334.60 + 6.30 0.15%
Silver 64.11 + 2.11 3.40%
Bitcoin 86,038.00 - 2,161.00 2.45%
Crude Oil 56.69 - 0.75 1.31%

U.S. Wheat Exports Strengthen

U.S. wheat exports are running about 20% ahead of last year, supported by improved yields, competitive pricing and recovered hard red winter production. Despite strong global competition, new and returning buyers like Nigeria and Mexico are boosting demand, even as planted acres decline. read more here

Livestock Markets Mixed, Volatility Eases

Cash cattle surged again last week, with strong gains in both North and South, while futures showed narrower trading ranges. Packers appear well-covered near term, tempering upside. Hog futures remain supported by optimism and improving cutouts, though weaker cash trade and overbought signals raise correction risks. read more here

Gold Gains As Oil Slides

Gold hovered near seven-week highs as a weaker dollar, rate-cut expectations, and geopolitical risk boosted safe-haven demand, while silver rebounded sharply after recent volatility. Oil prices slipped on oversupply concerns and potential Russia-Ukraine peace talks that could eventually bring more sanctioned barrels back to market. read more here

CattleUSA Daily Podcast:

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