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TUESDAY Q’S

MARKET REPORT

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AGRICULTURE

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  • COURT CASE CHALLENGES OPEN FIELDS

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FINANCE

  • DAILY REPORTING

  • CATTLE FUTURES DROP ON UNCERTAINTY

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Last Week’s Responses— 3/3

DAILY MARKET SUMMARY

Monday, March 09

AUCTION SUMMARY

Herreid Livestock

4,603 Herreid, SD

Friday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
500-600 lbs462.50-500.00500-600 lbs491.00
600-700 lbs409.00-459.00600-700 lbs367.00-409.00
700-800 lbs365.50-409.75700-800 lbs342.00-375.00
800-900 lbs350.00-375.00800-900 lbs326.25-338.75
900-1000 lbs340.00-353.00900-1000 lbs321.75-322.00

Ft. Pierre Livestock

4,628 Ft. Pierre, SD

Friday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
400-500 lbs572.50-600.00400-500 lbs497.50-512.50
500-600 lbs468.00-552.50500-600 lbs432.50-475.00
600-700 lbs418.00-461.00600-700 lbs371.00-422.00
700-800 lbs371.00-416.00700-800 lbs351.00-396.00
800-900 lbs350.00-379.50800-900 lbs312.50-343.00

Ericson Livestock

3,960 Ericson, NE

Saturday

Feeder Steers - Medium & Large #1 Feeder Heifers - Medium & Large #1
600-700 lbs409.50-486.00400-500 lbs535.00-465.00
700-800 lbs371.00-423.00500-600 lbs424.00-460.00
800-900 lbs343.00-370.00600-700 lbs382.00-402.50
900-1000 lbs347.25-352.00700-800 lbs338.50-368.00
1000-1100 lbs326.85800-900 lbs-

CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE LIVESTOCK FUTURES SETTLEMENT

Monday

Live Cattle Change  Feeder Cattle Change
Apr 230.150 4.425 Mar 350.650 4.975
Jun 227.425 4.050 Apr 346.550 5.075
Aug 225.575 3.675 May 342.875 5.200

CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE GRAIN FUTURES SETTLEMENTS

Monday

Corn Change  Soy Beans Change
Mar 4.3750 0.0950 Mar 11.8050 0.0450
May 4.5375 0.0675 May 11.9625 0.0450
Jul 4.6550 0.0550 Jul 12.0900 0.0400

KANSAS CITY BOARD OF TRADE

Monday

  Wheat Change
Mar 6.0775 0.0375
May 6.1975 0.0375
Jul 6.3300 0.0250

ESTIMATED DAILY CATTLE SLAUGHTER

Monday 103,000 Friday
Week Ago (est)102,000 Steer & Heifer: 68,000
Year Ago (act)115,000 Cow & Bull: 20,000
Wk To Date (est)103,000 Saturday
Last Week (est)102,000 Steer & Heifer: 0
Last Year (est)115,000Cow & Bull: 0

Monday, March 09

5 AREA WEEKLY ACCUMULATED WEIGHTED AVG CATTLE PRICE

As of 10:00 amHead CountAvg WeightAvg Price
Live Steer 26,981 1,584 239.94
Live Heifer 11,357 1,385 239.95
Dressed Steer 10,235 1,030 379.82
Dressed Heifer 4,009 908 380.00

DAILY ESTIMATED CUTOUT VALUES

600-900#ChoiceSelectChoice/Select Spread
Current Cutout Values: 391.29 383.62 7.67
Change from prior day: +4.07 +4.67  

DAILY CATTLE SLAUGHTER

Monday 103,000 Friday
Week Ago (est)102,000 Steer & Heifer: 68,000
Year Ago (act)114,935 Cow & Bull: 20,000
Wk To Date (est)103,000 Saturday
Last Week (est)102,000 Steer & Heifer: 0
Last Year (est)114,935 Cow & Bull: 0
ASK JOHN

This week, Lauren and John Campbell cover two big things: strong demand in the sale barn despite recent futures turmoil, and a major USDA shift aimed at what they’re calling “ag lawfare.” John breaks down a new “Farmer and Rancher Freedom Framework” tied to USDA Secretary Rollins, focused on protecting producers, pushing back on regulatory overreach, and creating a formal channel for ranchers to report government-driven land and business pressure. If you’ve ever felt like agencies were running the show instead of common sense, this episode is for you.

Takeaways:

  • The cattle market saw sharp selloffs late last week, but rebounded with strong gains early this week

  • Replacement heifer demand remains extremely strong, signaling optimism and herd-building interest

  • Lightweight grazing cattle and grass-ready calves are holding steady across the region

  • John previews La Junta’s 86th Anniversary Sale and what buyers can expect (quality cattle under 700 lbs and a big turnout)

  • USDA is building a “Farmer and Rancher Freedom Framework” aimed at ending “ag lawfare” and regulatory overreach

  • The framework includes four pillars: protect producers, preserve land and liberty, purge burdensome regulations, and partner with ag to fight lawfare

  • USDA is positioning farming/ranching and private property as a national security priority

  • A new USDA reporting channel is highlighted for producers dealing with government overreach: USDA.gov/lawfare

  • The USDA plan includes near-term agency enforcement reviews and longer-term efforts targeting consolidation and concentrated protein markets

  • Lauren and John emphasize that “small” overreach issues still matter and should be reported to build legitimacy and momentum

  • The episode closes with cautious optimism: fundamentals remain strong even with packer leverage swings and volatility

Have a topic you want to hear discussed? Use the button below to send us your request and tune in to CattleUSA TV on YouTube to see the answer 🤠

*Do not include personal details like addresses, passwords, financial information or other sensitive data*

Monday, March 09

CattleUSA Insurance Partner Logic Ag Marketing Commentary

There's some common theme's we're hearing on the phone's lately, right or wrong, but many are thinking the same.

• "Nothing's changed, fundamentals are still bullish"

• "If the board would ever put premium in the back months, I'd hedge a profit"

• "I can't buy LRP, they're too expensive"

I'm going to tell you my opinion on it, which is "The market is going to eventually get to a point we should've hedged small losses to avoid the big one." The problem is, even thinking that to be true, I/we don't know when that will be. So how do we fight it? Options or LRP's. "But they're too expensive" is the next thing I hear. What if you were willing to change your risk a little and trade options to hopefully offset the premium? Here's an example.

• Buy LRP on summer yearlings, maybe using Aug. 3rd at $342.76 costing $13.23

• If you're of the opinion we're not going to new highs, you might consider selling an August $380 call option, collecting $5

• And if you're also in the camp that feeders don't belong or won't go below $300, maybe you sell a $300 August put option, collecting another $5

If futures don't settle above $380 or below $300, you can use the $10/cwt you collected on the pair of sold options to put towards the $13.23/cwt LRP premium. If that actually happens, now your premium is $3.23/cwt to protect the market from $342.76 down to $300. Sometimes some protection is better than none. This takes the guessing game out of the equation. And if you happen to get burned on that sold $380 call option, you have the physical livestock making more than you thought they would, so that's still a win in my opinion.

If you're a finisher, hogs or cattle, this is a good way to protect cattle when margins are tight. Our goals here are to not only help you manage your market risks, but also to try making your operation as profitable as possible. Maybe your crop/livestock insurances could benefit from learning to trade options. Call us if this seemed like I'm speaking Greek. It's our job to educate and inform you, so take advantage of it.

-Fat cattle kill at 103,000 vs 102,000 a week ago and 114,000 a year ago

-Choice boxes up 4.07 to $391.29 and select 4.67 to $383.62 for a spread of 7.67 on 48 loads

-CME feeder index(Feeder LRP Settlement) for 3/6 came in at $366.39

-Fed Cattle LRP’s ending last week settled at $240.02

-Hog kill at 493,000 vs 475,000 a week ago and 486,000 a year ago.

-Afternoon Pork reported up 3.05 at $101.32 on 247 loads

-CME lean hog index on 3/5 reported at 90.74

-CME pork cutout index on 3/6 reported at 98.66

-LRP’s ending 3/9 settled at approximately $90.87

Dan Gerhold

Click here to connect with a CattleUSA Insurance representative

Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Review our full disclaimer at https://www.logicag.com/disclaimer

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